Proceedings of the Survey Research Methods Section, American Statistical Association (1989)

Invited Papers by Topic

I. APPLYING TIME SERIES METHODS IN REPEATED SAMPLE SURVEYS
Organizer: WILLIAM R. BELL, Bureau of the Census
Chair: STEVEN C. HILLMER, University of Kansas

Estimation and Seasonal Adjustment of Population Means Using Data from Repeated Surveys - DANNY PFEFFERMANN, Hebrew University ............... 1

Implications of Survey Designs for Estimating Seasonal ARIMA Models - DAVID A. BINDER, JYETER DICK, Statistics Canada ............... 11

A Kalman Filter Approach to Labor Force Estimation Using Survey Data - RICHARD TILLER, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 16

The Time Series Analysis of Compositional Data - T. M. FRED SMITH, University of Southampton; TERESA M. BRUNSDON, Sheffield City Polytechnic ............... 26

 

II. ESTIMATING THE PREVALENCE OF HIV INFECTION
Organizer: DANIEL G. HORVLTZ, Research Triangle Institute
Chair: RONALD S. BROOKMEYER, Johns Hopkins University

An Infectious Disease Model for Estimating the Incidence of HIV - PHILIP C. COOLEY, DAVID N. HAMILL, SUSAN J. READE-CHRISTOPHER, Research Triangle Institute; CHARLES M. VAN DER HORST, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill ............... 33

Quality Enhancement of the National Household Seroprevalence Survey - JAMES T. MASSEY, National Center for Health Statistics; RALPH FOLSOM, Research Triangle Institute; TRENA EZZATI, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 40

Discussion - MICHAEL A. STOTO, Institute of Medicine ............... 48

 

III. TREATMENT OF MISSING VALUES IN SAMPLE SURVEYS
Organizer: JOSEPH SEDRANSK, University of Iowa
Chair: GEORGE G. WOODWORTH, University of Iowa

Effect on Secondary Data Analysis of the Use of Imputed Values: The Case Where Missing Data Are Not Missing at Random - J. H. JINN, National Chengchi University, Taiwan; J. SEDRANSK, University of Iowa and Bureau of the Census ............... 51

Survey Inference with Weights for Differential Sample Selection or Nonresponse - RODERICK J. A. LITTLE, University of California School of Medicine, Los Angeles ............... 62

Discussion - DAVID W. CHAPMAN, Bureau of the Census ............... 72

 

IV. STATISTICAL ISSUES IN THE NATURAL HISTORY OF HIV INFECTION
Organizer: S. LAGAKOS, Harvard University
Chair: NICHOLAS P. JEWELL, University of Califomia, Berkeley

Nonparametric Density Estimation for Immunologic Measurements - T. YANG, N. DUBIN, New York University Medical Center ............... 73

 

V. SOME NEW APPROACHES TO QUALITY IN SURVEYS
Organizer/Chair: FRITZ SCHEUREN, Intemal Revenue Service

The Design of Surveys Using Measurement Design Standards - R. E. FOLSOM, DANIEL G. HORV1TZ, L. M. LAVANGE, Research Triangle Institute ............... 80

What Is Survey Quality: Back to the Future - RON FECSO, National Agricultural Statistics Service, USDA ............... 88

Discussion - JOSEPH K. GARRETT, Bureau of the Census ............... 97

Discussion - DAVID MORGANSTEIN, Westat, Inc. ............... 100

 

VI. SOFTWARE AND ANALYSIS FOR COMPLEX SURVEY DATA
Organizer: DAVID MORGANSTEIN, Westat, Inc.
Chair: ROBERT E. FAY, Bureau of the Census

Compiler-Interpreter for Survey Data Analysis Language - BABUBHAI V. SHAH, Research Triangle Institute ............... 103

Complex Survey Variance Estimation and Contingency Table Analysis Using Replication - PAUL FLYER, KEITH RUST, DAVID MORGANSTEIN, Westat, Inc. ............... 110

 

VII. THE DESIGN OF TELEPHONE SURVEYS
Organizer: ROBERT J. CASADY, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Chair: WILLIAM L. NICHOLLS, II, Bureau of the Census

Development and Testing of Telephone Survey Methods for Household Surveys at Statistics Canada - J. DOUGLAS DREW, J. PETER DICK, KAREN SW1TZER, Statistics Canada ............... 120

Characteristics of Commercial Residential Telephone Lists and Dual Frame Designs - CLYDE TUCKER, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 128

Telephone Survey Designs - ROBERT J. CASADY, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 138

Discussion - JOSEPH WAKSBERG, Westat, Inc. ............... 148

 

VIII. EVOLUTION OF METHODOLOGY FOR THE DECENNIAL CENSUS
Organizer: DAVID WHITFORD, Bureau of the Census
Chair: CHARLES D. JONES, Bureau of the Census

Decennial Census Research and Evaluation Program—Its History and Influence - SUSAN M. MISKURA, DAVID C. WHiTFORD, CATHERINE KEELEY, Bureau of the Census ............... 151

Discussion - MORRIS H. HANSEN, Westat, Inc. ............... 161

 

Contributed Papers by Topic

I. VARIANCE ESTIMATION IN SURVEYS I
Organizer/Chair: RONALD IACHAN, Research Triangle Institute

Generalized Composite Estimation in Repeated Sampling: Designs and Variance Formulae - PATRICK J. CANTWELL, Bureau of the Census ............... 164

The Effects of Sample Size on Variances of the Producer Price Index - JUDITH HELLERSTEIN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 170

Comparison of Variance Estimators for Producer Price Index Data - CAROL SPEASE, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 176

Variance Components and Design Comparisons for an Area Sample Survey in Cameroon - CHARLES H. PROCTOR, North Carolina State University ............... 182

Variance of Intracluster Correlation Estimator - JAI W. CHOI, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 188

A Generalized Approach for the Sampling and Estimation of Sub-Annual Business Surveys - MICHAEL A. HIDIROGLOU, G. H. CHOUDHRY, Statistics Canada ............... 193

 

II. VARIANCE ESTIMATION IN SURVEYS II
Organizer/Chair: FRITZ SCHEUREN, Intemal Revenue Service

Assessing Linearization Variance Estimators - PHILLIP S. KOTT, National Agricultural Statistics Service, USDA ............... 201

Computing Jackknife Variance Estimates with Certainty and Noncertainty PSUs - DAVID A. MARKER, Westat, Inc. ............... 207

DEFFS: Why, When, and How? A Review - LESLIE KISH, University of Michigan ............... 209

Theory and Application of Replicate Weighting for Variance Calculations - ROBERT E. FAY, Bureau of the Census ............... 212

Discussion - KEITH RUST, Westat, Inc. ............... 218

 

III. EDITING AND IMPUTATION IN BUSINESS SURVEYS
Organizer/Chair: RODERICK J. A. LITTLE, University of Califomia, Los Angeles

A Statistical Edit for Livestock Slaughter Data - CATHY MAZUR, National Agricultural Statistics Service, USDA ............... 221

Altemative Imputation Methods for Employment Data - SANDRA WEST, SHALL BUTANI, MICHAEL WITT, CRAIG ADKINS, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 227

Multiple Imputation in a Complex Sample Survey - EUGENE M. BURNS, Energy Information Administration ............... 233

A Multivariate Analysis of Farm Costs and Returns Survey Data - W. W. DONALDSON, USDA; R. E. BARGMANN, University of Georgia ............... 239

Discussion - JOSEPH SEDRANSK, National Center for Health Statistics and University of Iowa ............... 245

Discussion - DAVID W. CHAPMAN, Bureau of the Census ............... 246

 

IV. NEW DEVELOPMENTS IN DATA COLLECTION
Organizer: MICHAEL A. HIDIROGLOU, Statistics Canada
Chair: JOSEPH K. GARRElT, Bureau of the Census

An Edit Scheme Based on Multivariate Data Analysis - FRANCE BILOCQ, JEAN-MARIE BERTHELOT, Statistics Canada ............... 248

Address Register Research at Statistics Canada - J. D. DREW, DONALD A. ROYCE, A. VAN BAAREN, Statistics Canada ............... 252

Controlling Response Error in an Establishment Survey - CHESTER H. PONIKOWSKI, SUE A. MEILY, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 258

Developing a Cost Model for Altemative Data Collection Methods: Mail, CATI and TDE - RICHARD L. CLAYTON, LOUIS J. HARRELL, JR., Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 264

Discussion - NASH J. MONSOUR, Bureau of the Census ............... 270

 

V. NONRESPONSE ADJUSTMENTS IN SURVEYS
Organizer/Chair: ROBERT SANTOS, Temple University

Response Rates and Non-Response Adjustment in a National Survey - WILLIAM D. MOSHER, National Center for Health Statistics; DAVID JUDKINS, HUSEN GOKSEL, Westat, Inc. ............... 273

Weighting and Imputation Methods for Nonresponse in CPS Gross Flows Estimation - ARTHUR L. HUGHES, FLORA K. PEITZMEIER, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 279

The Robustness of Hot-Deck and Cell Mean Methods in Retaining Population Covariance Structure in Imputed Samples - JAVAID KAISER, Virginia Tech ............... 286

Imputing Hourly Wages in the National Medical Expenditure Survey - AYAH E. JOHNSON, STEVEN B. COHEN, ALAN C. MONHEIT, National Center for Health Services Research and Health Care Technology Assessment ............... 290

 

VI. INDICATIONS OF NONSAMPLING ERROR IN PANEL SURVEYS
Organizer: RAJENDRA SINGH, Bureau of the Census
Chair: MICHAEL BRICK, Westat, Inc.

Weighting Adjustments for Partial Nonresponse in the 1984 SIPP Panel - JAMES LEPKOWSKI, GRAHAM KALTON, University of Michigan; DANIEL KASPRZYK, Bureau of the Census ............... 296

Event History Analysis of Proxy Response Patterns and Health Care Coverage Among the Aged: Data from the 1984 Survey of Income and Program Participation Panel - LARRY S. CORDER, KENNETH G. MANTON, Duke University ............... 302

Time-in-Sample Biases in the Survey of Income and Program Participation - RAMESWAR P. CHAKRABARTY, TODD R. WILLIAMS, Bureau of the Census ............... 309

Reporting of Income Recipiency by Self and Proxy Respondents in SIPP - SUSAN VICK, LYNN WEIDMAN, Bureau of the Census ............... 315

Preliminary Evaluation of Maximum Telephone Interviewing on the SIPP - PHILIP M. GBUR, RITA J. PETRONI, Bureau of the Census ............... 320

Findings from the SIPP Fringe Benefits Feasibility Study: Response Rates and Data Quality - SHELDON E. HABER, George Washington University ............... 326

Discussion - RALPH E. FOLSOM, Research Triangle Institute ............... 331

 

VII. PERCENTILE AND EXTREME VALUE ESTIMATION IN SURVEYS
Chair: LESTER CURTIN, National Center for Health Statistics

Methods for the Revision of the NCHS/CDC Growth Charts: Birth to 36 Months - ALEX F. ROCHE, SHUMEL GUO, Wright State University School of Medicine; CATHERINE WOTEKI, National Center for Health Statistics; FREDERICK L. TROWBRIDGE, Centers for Disease Control ............... 333

A Simulation Study of Various Estimators Which Use Auxiliary Data in an Establishment Survey - HYUNSHIK LEE, JAMES CROAL, Statistics Canada ............... 336

On the Estimation of Distribution and Quantile Functions for Small Domains - MILORAD S. KOVACEVIC, University of Iowa ............... 342

Discussion - DAVID R. JUDKINS, Westat, Inc. ............... 348

 

VIII. COMPUTER ASSISTED DATA COLLECTION
Organizer/Chair: OWEN THORNBERRY, JR., National Center for Health Statistics

Methodological Issues in CAPI - MICK COUPER, ROBERT M. GROVES, University of Michigan; CAROL L. KOSARY, Arbitron Ratings Company ............... 349

Mail Questionnaires: An Altemative to Telephone Surveys for Followback Studies - HOLLY B. SHULMAN, MELISSA M. ADAMS, and the PRAMS Working Group, Centers for Disease Control ............... 355

Evaluation of the Use of CATI in the Current Population Survey - HARLAND H. SHOEMAKER, JOHN M. BUSHERY, LAWRENCE S. CAHOON, Bureau of the Census ............... 361

Response Rates in a Dual-Frame Sample Design CATI Test - SHARON L. DURANT, FRANK VITRANO, Bureau of the Census ............... 367

Discussion - WILLIAM L. NICHOLLS, II, Bureau of the Census ............... 372

 

IX. RESPONSE ERROR IN PANEL SURVEYS
Organizer: DANIEL KASPRZYK, Bureau of the Census
Chair: PATRICIA RUGGLES, The Urban Institute

Analysis of SIPP Reinterview Data A Poisson Model of Response Error - DANIEL H. HILL, University of Toledo ............... 375

Some Response Errors in SIPP—With Thoughts About Their Effects and Remedies - KENT H. MARQUIS, JEFFREY C. MOORE, Bureau of the Census ............... 381

Seam Effect, Recall Bias, and the Estimation of Labor Force Transition Rates from SIPP - ALBERTO MARTINI, Mathematica Policy Research ............... 387

Wave-Seam Effects in the SIPP - NATHAN C. YOUNG, The Urban Institute ............... 393

 

X. MEDICAL RECORD LINKAGE: METHODOLOGICAL CONSIDERATIONS IN APPLIED RESEARCH
Organizer/Chair: PAUL AHMED, National Center for Health Statistics

The Clinical Epidemiology of Asthma in an HMO—Methodologic Considerations - WILLIAM M. VOLLMER, MERWYN R. GREENLICK, Kaiser Permanente Center for Health Research; A. SONIA BUIST, MOLLY L. OSBORNE, Oregon Health Sciences University ............... 399

Methodologic Considerations in Linking Multiple Databases for the Study of AIDS Epidemiology - ROSELIE A. BRIGHT, MARILYN J. CHOWN, DANIEL E. EVERITT, JERRY GURWITZ, JERRY AVORN, Harvard Medical School and Beth Israel Hospital ............... 403

 

XI. RESEARCH ON COGNITIVE SCIENCE AND RESPONSE ERRORS IN SURVEYS
Organizer: JARED B. JOBE, National Center for Health Statistics
Chair: ROBERT F. BORUCH, Northwestem University

A Cognitive Investigation of Responses to Dietary Surveys - ALBERT F. SMITH, Columbia University; JARED B. JOBE, DAVID J. MINGAY, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 407

Response Errors and Bias in the Recall of Chronic Pain - PETER SALOVEY, Yale University; JARED B. JOBE, GORDON B. WILLIS, National Center for Health Statistics; WILLIAM J. SIEBER, SASHA VAN DER SLEESEN, Yale University; DENNIS C. TURK, University of Pittsburgh; ALBERT F. SMITH, State University of New York, Binghamton ............... 413

Recall Strategies for Estimation of Smoking Levels in Health Surveys - BARBARA MEANS, GARY E. SWAN, SRI International; JARED B. JOBE, JAMES L. ESPOSITO, National Center for Health Statistics; ELIZABETH F. LOFTUS, University of Washington ............... 421

The Role of Respondent Comprehension and Interviewer Knowledge in CPS Labor Force Classification - PAMELA C. CAMPANELLI, JENNIFER M. ROTHGEB, ELIZABETH A. MARTIN, Bureau of the Census ............... 425

Discussion - MURRAY ABORN, National Science Foundation ............... 431

 

XII. NONRESPONSE RESEARCH
Organizer/Chair: JOEL KLEINMAN, National Center for Health Statistics

Cost-Efficiency and the Number of Allowable Callbacks in the National Health Interview Survey - WILLIAM D. KALSBEEK, University of North Carolina; STEVEN L. BOTMAN, JAMES T. MASSEY, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 434

Nonresponse in a Survey of Nursing Home Residents - D. E. B. POTTER, National Center for Health Services Research ............... 440

Hierarchical Modeling for Nonresponse and Victimizations in the National Crime Survey - ELIZABETH A. STASNY, Ohio State University ............... 446

Adjusting for Nonresponse in a Telephone Subscriber Survey - JAMES H. DREW, GTE Laboratories, Inc.; ROBERT M. GROVES, University of Michigan ............... 452

 

XIII. LONGITUDINAL AND OTHER SURVEY DESIGNS
Organizer/Chair: STEVEN B. COHEN, National Center for Health Services Research

Estimation of Sampling Probabilities for Sample Aggregation Sites - CHARLES D. COWAN, National Center for Education Statistics; SARA M. DEBANNE, Case Westem Reserve University School of Medicine ............... 457

Combining Panel and Cross-Sectional Selection in an Annual Sample of Tax Returns - JOHN L. CZAJKA, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; BONNYE WALKER, Internal Revenue Service ............... 463

Some Panel Aspects of the Objective Yield Survey - MARK REISER, Arizona State University; RON FECSO, National Agricultural Statistics Services, USDA; MENG-KOON CHUA, Arizona State University ............... 469

Analysis of Trends in Tobacco Consumption by Minorities - AMDETSION KIDANE, JOE W. LEE, NARENDRA K. RUSTAGI, Howard University ............... 475

 

XIV. COGNITIVE RESEARCH FOR HOUSEHOLD SURVEY QUESTIONNAIRE DESIGN
Organizer/Chair: ALAN TUPEK, Bureau of Labor Statistics

Categorization of Responses to the Open-Ended Labor Force Questions in the Current Population Survey (CPS) - MARIA P. FRACASSO, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 481

Reliability of Proxy Response in the Current Population Survey - LAWRENCE E. BOEHM, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 486

Tests of Alternative Questions for Measuring Industry and Occupation in the CPS - GREGORY H. GAERTNER, DAVID CANTOR, NANCY L. GAY, Westat, Inc.; SUSAN E. SHANK, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 490

Procedures for Validating Reports of Hours Worked and for Classifying Discrepancies Between Questionnaire Reports and Validation Totals - W. SHERMAN EDWARDS, Westat, Inc.; ROGER LEVINE, American Institutes for Research; SHARON R. COHANY, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 496

Improving Comprehension and Recall in the Consumer Expenditure Interview Survey: Discrepancies in Comprehension and Recall as a Source of Nonsampling Error - LESLIE A. MILLER, THEODORE DOWNES-LE GUN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 502

Discussion - ELIZABETH A. MARTIN, Bureau of the Census ............... 508

 

XV. 1990 DECENNIAL CENSUS PLANNING AND PRODUCTS
Organizer: EDISON GORE, Bureau of the Census
Chair: JOHN THOMPSON, Bureau of the Census

Multiple Random Start Systematic Sampling: An Empirical Study - ALFREDO NAVARRO, SUSAN E. PAK, Bureau of the Census ............... 510

Disclosure Avoidance for the 1990 Census - RICHARD A. GRIFFIN, ALFREDO NAVARRO, LINDA FLORES-BAEZ, Bureau of the Census ............... 516

A Total Error Model for the 1990 Census - HENRY F. WOLTMAN, ROBERT A. JOHNSON, Bureau of the Census ............... 522

A Census for All Seasons—Planning for the Non-Stateside 1990 Housing Censuses - CARMINA F. YOUNG, Bureau of the Census ............... 528

1990 Census Planning for Data Products - CHERYL R. LANDMAN, GLORIA I. PORTER, LINDA S. BRUDVIG, Bureau of the Census ............... 534

 

XVI. ESTIMATING RESPONSE ERRORS IN SURVEYS
Organizer/Chair: TRENA EZZATI, National Center for Health Statistics

Sample Design of the NMES Medical Provider Survey - STEVEN B. COHEN, RALPH DIGAETANO, MIKE BRICK, National Center for Health Services Research ............... 538

Respondent Reactions to Item Count Lists and Randomized Response - MICHAEL L. HUBBARD, RACHEL A. CASPER, JUDITH T. LESSLER, Research Triangle Institute ............... 544

Estimation for a Non-Sensitive Variate Over Sensitive Sub-Populations Observed Using Randomized Response - PATRICK D. BOURKE, University College, Cork, Ireland ............... 549

Surveying Small Businesses About Their Finances - BRENDA G. COX, Research Triangle Institute; GREGORY E. ELLIEHAUSEN, JOHN D. WOLKEN, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System ............... 553

Results of the Nonsampling Error Measurement Survey of Field Interviewers - SUSAN A. LAVIN, Bureau of the Census ............... 558

Discussion - SEYMOUR SUDMAN, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign ............... 564

 

XVII. SAMPLE DESIGN AND SELECTION
Organizer/Chair: ROBERT J. CASADY, Bureau of Labor Statistics

Cost-Variance Optimization of Dual Frame Design for Estimating Proportions - G. H. CHOUDHRY, Statistics Canada ............... 566

Integration of Two Surveys—An Update - STEVEN L. BOTMAN, National Center for Health Statistics; JOSEPH WAKSBERG, SANDRA SPERRY, Westat, Inc.; WILLIAM F. PRATT, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 572

Systematic Selection of PPS Samples for Several Surveys from the Same Universe - JULIA L. BIENIAS, DAVID L. HUBBLE, CHARLES H. ALEXANDER, Bureau of the Census ............... 578

U-Statistics in Unequal Probability Samples - RICK L. WILLIAMS, Research Triangle Institute; PARNAB K. SEN, University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill ............... 584

Discussion - WILLIAM D. KALSBEEK, University of North Carolina ............... 590

 

XVIII. RESEARCH AND EVALUATION FOR THE 1987 CENSUS OF AGRICULTURE
Organizer: CYNTHIA Z. F. CLARK, Bureau of the Census
Chair: CHARLES P. PAUTLER, JR., Bureau of the Census

Classification Tree Methodology for Mail List Development - DEDRICK OWENS, Bureau of the Census; RUTH ANN KILLION, Evangelical Lutheran Church in America; MAGDALENA RAMOS, RICHARD SCHMEHL, Bureau of the Census ............... 593

1987 Census of Agriculture Coverage Evaluation Estimatio - KAREN E. WRIGHT, WILLIAM C. DAVIE, JANE D. SANDUSKY, ELIZABETH A. VACCA, Bureau of the Census ............... 599

1985 and 1986 Census of Agriculture Tests - KAREN MCKELVEY, CYNTHIA Z. F. CLARK, Bureau of the Census; RUTH ANN KILLION, Evangelical Lutheran Church in America ............... 605

Screening for Agriculture Activity - MARY C. GATT DAVIS, CYNTHIA Z. F. CLARK, ELIZABETH A. VACCA, KAREN E. WRIGHT, Bureau of the Census ............... 611

Discussion - RICHARD ALLEN, U.S. Department of Agriculture ............... 617

Discussion - GEORGE W. BEELEN, Statistics Canada ............... 619

 

XIX. SAMPLE DESIGN RESEARCH
Organizer/Chair: GARY SHAPIRO, Bureau of the Census

Stratification of a Population: Programming of Lavallee and Hidiroglou's Algorithm - WILLIAM W. S. CHEN, U.S. Department of the Treasury ............... 620

Further Applications of Linear Programming to Sampling Problems - LAWRENCE R. ERNST, Bureau of the Census ............... 625

Model-Based Sample Selection and Prediction Procedures for Two-Stage Sampling - NANCY J. CARTER, California State University, Chico; G. DAVID FAULKENBERRY, Oregon State University ............... 631

Sampling in Time and Space - RONALDO IACHAN, Research Triangle Institute ............... 636

Optimum Stratified Sampling Using Prior Information - KALLAPPA M. KOTI, Southern Methodist University; BENJAMIN S. DURAN, TRUMAN 0. LEWIS, Texas Tech University ............... 641

Two-Phase Sample Design for Tax Data - G. H. CHOUDHRY, PIERRE LAVALLÉE, MICHEL A. HIDIROGLOU, Statistics Canada ............... 646

 

XX. RESPONSE ERROR: MEASUREMENT AND MODELING
Organizer/Chair: NANCY MATHIOWETZ, National Center for Health Services Research

Joint Effects of Errors of Measurement and Grouping on the Estimated Product-Moment Correlation - JOHN J. CHAI, CHUNG CHEN, Syracuse University ............... 652

On An E-Contamination Model for Multinomial Response Error with Application to Labour Flows - A. C. SINGH, G. E. LEMAITRE, Statistics Canada ............... 657

 

XXI. TOPICS IN CENSUS EVALUATION
Organizer: HOWARD HOGAN, Bureau of the Census
Chair: BENJAMIN F. KING, JR., Florida Atlantic University

Nine Years of Coverage Evaluation Research: What Have We Learned? - HOWARD HOGAN, Bureau of the Census ............... 663

Using Administrative Lists to Supplement Coverage in Hard-to-Count Areas of the Post-Enumeration Survey for the 1988 Census of St. Louis - GLENN WOLFGANG, Bureau of the Census ............... 669

The Forward Trace Study - MARY H. MULRY, AREF DAJANI, Bureau of the Census ............... 675

Multiple-System Methods for Census Coverage Evaluation - ALAN M. ZASLAVSKY, MIT and Harvard University ............... 681

Discussion - MICHAEL A. STOTO, National Academy of Sciences ............... 687

 

XXII. DESIGNING AND EVALUATING POST-ENUMERATION SURVEYS
Organizer: MARY MULRY, Bureau of the Census
Chair: CONSTANCE F. CITRO, Committee onNational Statistics

The 1988 Post Enumeration Survey Methods and Preliminary Results - DANNY R. CHILDERS, HOWARD HOGAN, Bureau of the Census ............... 689

Evaluation of the Interviewer Quality Control Procedure for the Post-Enumeration Survey - LYNNE STOKES, University of Texas; PATRICIA M. JONES, Bureau of the Census ............... 696

Quality Assurance for the Clerical Matching Operation in the 1990 Post-Enumeration Survey - KIRSTEN K. WEST, CAROL CORBY, GARY VAN NEST, Bureau of the Census ............... 699

The Matching Error Study for the 1988 Dress Rehearsal - MARY H. MULRY, AREF DAJANI, Bureau of the Census; PAUL P. BIEMER, University of New Mexico ............... 704

The 1987 Post-Enumeration Survey - IRWIN ANOLIK, Bureau of the Census ............... 710

Discussion - MICHAEL LEE COHEN, University of Maryland ............... 716

 

XXIII. ESTIMATION IN SAMPLE SURVEYS
Organizer/Chair: DAVID A. BINDER, Statistics Canada

Mean Square Error Estimation of Kalman Filter Estimates from Aggregate Survey Data - STEPHEN M. MILLER, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 718

A Multivariate Approach to Estimation in Finite Population Sampling When Nonignorable Nonresponse Is Present - STEPHEN M. WOODRUFF, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 724

Generalized Least Squares Estimation Under Poststratification - MICHAEL D. BANKIER, Statistics Canada ............... 730

Outliers in Sample Surveys - P. D. GHANGURDE, Statistics Canada ............... 736

Cluster Analysis Methods and Regression Modelling - MOHAMED A. AMIN, Al-Mustansiriyah University, Iraq ............... 740

Adjusting Survey Estimates of Grain Yield with Weather Variables - ARLIN M. FEYERHERM, Kansas State University ............... 744

 

XXIV. HYPOTHESIS TESTING AND ANALYSIS IN COMPLEX SURVEYS
Organizer/Chair: J. RICHARD LANDIS, Pennsylvania State University

The Computational Complexity of Some Rounding and Survey Overlap Problems - KIRK PRUHS, University of Pittsburgh ............... 747

On X2 Tests for Contingency Tables from Complex Sample Surveys with Fixed Cells and Marginal Design Effects - HA H. NGUYEN, Merck & Co.; CHARLES H. ALEXANDER, Bureau of the Census ............... 753

Two Empirical Studies of Statistical Methods Applied to Data from Complex Surveys - MYRON J. KATZOFF, GRETCHEN K. JONES, LESTER R. CURTIN, National Center for Health Statistics; BARRY GRAUBARD, National Institute of Health ............... 757

Size and Power of Independence Tests for R X C Tables from Complex Surveys - D. R. THOMAS, Carleton University; A. C. SINGH, GEORGIA R. ROBERTS, Statistics Canada ............... 763

Analysis of Hypertension Prevalence Data for the Canadian Population - JANE F. GENTLEMAN, MONICA TOMIAK, Statistics Canada ............... 769

Discussion - ROBERT E. FAY, Bureau of the Census ............... 776

 

XXV. LINKING, CODING, AND PROTECTING RECORD DATA
Organizer/Chair: THOMAS B. JABINE, CNSTAT

Frequency-Based Matching in the Fellegi-Sunter Model of Record Linkage - WILLIAM E. WINKLER, Bureau of the Census ............... 778

A Proposed Improvement in Computer Matching Techniques - THOMAS R. BELIN, Harvard University ............... 784

An Adjunct Facilities Survey for a Complex Buildings Survey - MIRIAM L. GOLDBERG, Energy Information Administration ............... 790

Automatic Coding of Transcript Data for a Survey of Recent College Graduates - DANIEL J. PRATT, JENNIFER W. MAYS, Research Triangle Institute ............... 796

The Use of Measurement Error to Avoid Disclosure - GARY R. SULLIVAN, WAYNE A. FULLER, Iowa State University ............... 802

 

XXVI. VOTING AND TAX RETURNS
Organizer/Chair: FLOYD J. FOWLER, JR., University of Massachusetts

Pre-Election Poll Reliability: Results of a Small City Survey - RICHARD BOLSTEIN, George Mason University ............... 808

The Effect of Time of Voting on Election Results—Based on Exit Poll Data - JEFFREY L. VEACH, HOWARD B. CHRISTENSEN, Brigham Young University ............... 815

Experimental Design for Discrete Choice Voter Preference Surveys - RICHARD T. CARSON, University of California, San Diego; DAN STEINBERG, San Diego State University ............... 821

 

XXVII. SMALL SAMPLE AND SMALL AREA ESTIMATION
Organizer/Chair: PHILIP SMITH, University of Minnesota

Bayesian and Non-Bayesian Procedures for Small-Area Estimation: Relationships and Computational Aspects - FREDERICK L. HULTING, DAVID A. HARVILLE, Iowa State University ............... 823

Asymptotically Optimal Bilinear and QR Estimators for Small Area Parameters - WIETSE DOL, TON STEERNEMAN, University of Groningen, The Netherlands ............... 829

Discussion - STEPHEN M. MILLER, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 835

 

CONTRIBUTED PAPERS—POSTER SESSION

What to Teach About Control Charts and Process Capability in Basic Statistics - BRUCE L. BOWERMAN, RICHARD T. O'CONNELL, Miami University ............... 837

Clues from the National Medical Expenditure Survey (NMES) on Optimum Number of Households Per Cluster - DAVID J. FITCH, National Center for Health Services Research ............... 843

Ratio Estimation and Approximate Optimum Stratification in Electric Power Surveys - JAMES R. KNAUB, JR., U.S. Department of Energy ............... 848

State Estimates for the National Health Interview Survey - VAN L. PARSONS, STEVEN L. BOTMAN, DONALD MALEC, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 854

Estimating the Costs of Conducting One-Time Surveys Using Lotus 1-2-3 - DOUG DOYLE, JANE H. LARSON, MARK PIERZCHALA, National Agricultural Statistics Service, USDA ............... 860

 

1989 WINTER CONFERENCE
January 4-6, 1989
San Diego, California

Sample Design for the 1990 Decennial Census - ALFREDO NAVARRO, RICHARD A. GRIFFIN, Bureau of the Census ............... 866