Proceedings of the Survey Research Methods Section, American Statistical Association (1979)

I. CONFIDENTIALITY OF SURVEY DATA -- PANEL DISCUSSION
Moderator: IDA C. MERRIAM

Panel: - ROBERT BORUCH, Northwestern University ; TORE DALENIUS, Brown University; JOSEPH W. DUNCAN, Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards; THOMAS B. JABINE, Energy Information Administration ............... 1

 

II. PLANS FOR THE EVALUATION OF THE 1980 CENSUS
Chairman: LEO ESTRADA, University of California, Los Angeles

Status of the 1980 Census Content Error Evaluation Program - HENRY WOLTMAN, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 12

Plans for 1980 Census Coverage Evaluation - DAVID V. BATEMAN and CHARLES D. COWAN, Bureau of the Census ............... 20

The 1980 Census Experimental Program - BARBARA A. BAILAR and SUSAN MISKURA, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 29

Discussion - WILLIAM SELTZER, United Nations Statistical Office ............... 39

 

Ill. CONTRACTING FOR FEDERAL SURVEYS -- PANEL DISCUSSION
Moderator: GEORGE E. HALL, Bureau of the Census

Panel: - F. THOMAS JUSTER, University of Michigan; ROBERT A. ISRAEL, National Center for Health Statistics; THOMAS G. STAPLES, Social Security Administration; MORRIS H. HANSEN, Westat ............... 42

 

IV. APPLICATIONS OF CHI-SQUARE TESTS TO CONTINGENCY TABLE$ FROM COMPLEX SAMPLES
Chairman: SOLOMON KULLBACK, George Washington University

Chisquared Tests for Analysis of Categorical Data from Complex Surveys - J.N.K. RAO, Carleton University and A.J. SCOTT, University of Auckland ............... 58

 

CONTRIBUTED PAPERS BY TOPIC
I. STATISTICAL USES OF ADMINISTRATIVE RECORDS

Major Administrative Record Files: Documentation and Potential Uses - JOSEPH J. KNOTT, Bureau of the Census ............... 67

Statistical Uses of Administrative Records - DAVID W. CARTWRIGHT, Bureau of Economic Analysis and PAUL A. ARMKNECHT, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 73

Access to Administrative Records on Establishments and Individuals for Public Policy Analysis - DAVID A. HIRSCHBERG, Small Business Administration and VERNON RENSHAW, Bureau of Economic
Analysis ............... 77

Statistical Progeny of Administrative Records: Some Legal Issues - LOIS ALEXANDER, Social
Security Administration . ............... 83

Statistical Uses of Administrative Records: Where Do We Go from Here? - DANIEL H. GARNICK, Bureau of Economic Analysis and MARIA ELENA GONZALEZ, Office of Federal Statistical Policy and Standards ............... 89

Discussion - RICHARD RUGGLES, Yale University ............... 95

 

II. VARIANCE ESTIMATlON IN SAMPLE SURVEYS

A Comparison of Methods and Programs for Computing Variances of Estimators from Complex Sample Surveys - BRUCE KAPLAN and IVOR FRANCIS, Cornell University; J. SEDRANSK, SUNY - Albany ............... 97

An Assessment of Curve Smoothing Strategies Which Yield Variance Estimates from Complex Survey Data - STEVEN B. COHEN, National Center for Health Services Research ............... 101

Discussion - GEORGE A. SCHNACK, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 105

A Comparison of Balanced Repeated Replication to Direct Replication for Variance Estimation - VIRGINIA RICHARDS and DANlEL H. FREEMAN, JR., Yale University ............... 106

Small Sample Properties of the Linearization, Jackknife and Balanced Half-Sample Methods for Ratio Estimation in Stratified Samples - D. KREWSKI, Health & Welfare Canada and J.N.K. RAO, Carleton University ............... 109

An Empirical Investigation of a One-Third Replication Scheme for Variance Estimation from the Current Population Survey - BRIAN CLARRIDGE and CHARLES PALIT, University of Wisconsin-Madison ............... 114

Discussion - HAROLD NISSELSON, Westat, Inc. ............... 119

 

III. THE REDESIGN OF THE CURRENT POPULATlON SURVEY

Overview of Current Population Survey Sample Design - THOMAS F. MOORE, PAUL BETTIN, DONNA KOSTANICH and GARY M. SHAPIRO, Bureau of the Census ............... 121

Overview of the Current Population Survey Operations and Estimation - MARGARET SCHOOLEY, LAWRENCE CAHOON, CHESTER PONIKOWSKI and KENNETH RICCINI, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 127

Impact of the "National Commission on Employment and Unemployment Statistics" on the Current Population Survey in the 1980s - ROBERT L. STEIN, U.S. Department of Labor ............... 133

Planning for the Current Population Survey Redesign - THOMAS J. PLEWES, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 138

A Test of Data Collection Methodologies: The Methods Test - CHARLES D. COWAN, ANTHONY M. ROMAN, KIRK N. WOLTER and HENRY F. WOLTMAN, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 141

Discussion - PHILIP J. McCARTHY, Cornell University ............... 147

 

IV. ANALYSIS OF SURVEY DATA

Small Sample Variances for the U - Terms in Loglinear Models - I. ELAINE ALLEN, University of Pennsylvania ............... 148

The Analysis of Contingency Tables of Data from Complex Samples - THOMAS J. TOMBERLIN, Harvard University ............... 152

Analysis of Randomized Response as Purposively Misclassified Data - T. TIMOTHY CHEN, The Upjohn Company ............... 158

The Finite-Population Linear Regression Estimator and Estimators of its Variance - An Empirical Study - RICHARD M. ROYALL, Johns Hopkins University and WILLIAM G. CUMBERLAND, University of California, Los Angeles ............... 164

Testing Hypothesis About Regression Coefficient in Samples from a Bivariate Normal Population - J.E. GRIMES, California Polytechnic State University & NASA-Ames Research Center and
B.V. SUKHATME, Deceased ............... 170

Power Transformation on Dissimilarity Data - THU HOANG and SON PHAM, Institut National de Ia Sante Et de la Recherche Medical and University of Nebraska at Lincoln ............... 174

 

V. REPORTS OF RECENT SURVEYS

Plan and Operation of the Connecticut Hypertension Survey - D.A. D'ATRI, D.H. FREEMAN, JR., A. OSTFELD, E. PAPKE, and K. PIORUN, Yale University; A. SARDINAS, Connecticut State Health
Department ............... 179

Designing a Survey of Information and Favor Exchange Networks Among Regional, State, County and Municipal Levels of Government - JAMES R. BENIGER and WESLEY SHRUM, Department of Sociology, Princeton University; THOMAS ASH and JEROME M. LUTIN, Transportation Program, Princeton University ............... 182

Surveying Alienation Among Metropolitan Blacks - PHILIP S. HART, University of Massachusetts/
Boston and Solomon Fuller Institute ............... 188

Integrating Survey Data with Archival Data: Developing a Dynamic Model of Urban Neighborhood Change - JAMES E. PRATHER, Georgia State University ............... 193

An Experiment with Payments to Survey Respondents - STUART H. KERACHSKY, CHARLES D. MALLAR and JEWEL MORAN, Mathematica Policy Research ............... 198

Salary Survey of Mathematicians and Statisticians - GLENN BEATTY, Battelle Columbus Laboratories ............... 204

 

VI. NON-SAMPLING ERRORS IN SURVEYS

An Improved Procedure for Estimating the Components of Response Variance in Complex Surveys - PAUL P. BIEMER, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 210

Interviewer Assignments Which Minimize the Effect of Non-Sampling Errors - H.O. HARTLEY and HOWARD MONROE, Texas A&M University ............... 216

Error Profile - Multiple Frame Designs - NORMAN D. BELLER, United States Department of Agriculture ............... 221

Two Methods of Measuring Correlated Response Variance - KAROL P. KROTKI and A. MACLEOD, Statistics Canada ............... 223

Discussion - D.G. HORVITZ, Research Triangle Institute ............... 229

 

VII. TELEPHONE SURVEY METHODOLOGY

Telephone Dialing Systems - Some Issues and Answers - GARY M. MULLET, University of Cincinnati ............... 231

Sampling Bias in Statewide Telephone Surveys of High School Dropouts - TERRY F. BUSS, Youngstown State University ............... 234

Some Methodological Results from Four Statewide Telephone Surveys Using Random Digit Dialing - JANE WILLIAMS BERGSTEN, Sampling Research and Design Center, Research Triangle Institute ............... 239

Some Results from the Telephone Health Interview System - JOSEPH E. FITTI, National Center for
Health Statistics ............... 244

Nonresponse Bias from "No Answer/Busy" Calls in a Telephone Survey - N.R. THOMPSON, Computer Sciences-Technicolor Associates ............... 250

Telephone Interview Introductions and Refusal Rates: Experiments in Increasing Respondent Cooperation - MICHAEL J. O'NEIL, Arizona State University; ROBERT M. GROVES and CHARLES F. CANNELL, The University of Michigan ............... 252

Optimizing the Time Schedules and Response Rates in Telephone Interviews - A Study of the Seasonal Patterns - GIDEON VIGDERHOUS, Bell Canada ............... 256

 

VIII. LINKED ADMINISTRATIVE STATISTiCAL SAMPLES FOR MORTALiTY RESEARCH

Introduction - IWAO N. MORIYAMA, International Institute for Vital Registration and Statistics ............... 262

Income Differentials in Mortality: Preliminary Results Based on IRS-SSA Linked Data - STEVEN CALDWELL and THEODORE DIAMOND, Cornell University ............... 263

Changes in the Impact of Education and Income on Mortality in the U.S. - SHERWIN ROSEN, University of Chicago, NBER and PAUL TAUBMAN, University of Pennsylvania, NBER ............... 269

Quality of Mortality Reporting in SSA Linked Data: Some Preliminary Descriptive Results - WENDY ALVEY and FAYE AZIZ, Social Security Administration ............... 275

Quality of Occupation Information on Tax Returns - GLORIA S. KOTEEN and PAUL E. GRAYSON, Internal Revenue Service ............... 280

Occupation and Industry Information from the Death Certificate: Assessment of the Completeness of Reporting - HARRY M. ROSENBERG and DRUSILLA BURNHAM, National Center for Health Statistics; ROBERT SPIRTAS, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; VICTOR VALDISERA, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 286

Discussion - GILBERT W. BEEBE, National Cancer Institute ............... 293

 

IX. SAMPLE DESIGN I - OF FRAMES AND STRATA

Test of Multiple Frame Sampling Techniques for Agricultural Surveys: New Brunswick, 1978 - BARBARA ARMSTRONG, Statistics Canada ............... 295

A Screening Procedure for Improving Large Area Crop Acreage Estimates - R.S. CHHIKARA, Lockheed Electronics Company, Inc. ............... 301

On the Inclusion of Large Units in Simple Random Sampling - M.A. HIDIROGLOU, Statistics Canada ............... 305

Allocation Using Empirical Bayes Estimators - HARRY M. MARKS, U.S. Department of Agriculture and STEPHEN N. WOODRUFF, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 309

Should One or Two PSU's Per Stratum Be Selected? - GARY M. SHAPIRO and CHRISTINA L. OLSEN, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 314

 

X. ESTIMATORS FROM SURVEY DATA

Iterative Weighted Ratio Estimation in Sample Surveys - ALAN H. FEIVESON, NASA Johnson Space Center ............... 319

Ratio Estimation of National Energy Technician Needs - KRIS K. MOORE and CARLOS W. MOORE, Baylor University ............... 323

A Generalization of the Ratio Estimate with Applications - DARREL W. PARKE and STEPHEN B. TAUBMAN, Federal Reserve Board ............... 327

Comparison of Estimators of the Mean Which Adjust for Large Observations - LAWRENCE R. ERNST, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 330

On Link Relative Estimators II - LILLIAN H. MADOW, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and WILLIAM G. MADOW, Washington, D.C ............... 336

A Dual System Network Estimator - MONROE G. SIRKEN, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 340

Sampling for Change - JAMES N. LOWERRE, Federal Trade Commission ............... 343

 

XI. NON-RESPONSE ERRORS IN SURVEYS

Non-Response Problems at Statistics Sweden (SCB) - LARS LYBERG and EDMUND RAPAPORT, Statistics Sweden ............... 348

An Assessment of Nonresponse Bias - JEANNE CLARE RIDLEY, DEBORAH A. DAWSON and CHRISTINE A. BACHRACH, Georgetown University; KORAY TANFER, Temple University ............... 353

If You Want to Know What Factors Influence Response Rate, Why Not Ask? - DENNIS W. LEITNER and TE J. CHANG, Southern Illinois University at Carbondale; BARBARA E. MYERS, Boston University; KAREN SARDESON, Georgetown University and PAUL F.G. KELLER, University of Maryland, College Park ............... 359

The Correlates of Item Nonresponse in a Large Scale Mail Survey - DONALD A. HUGHES, Sears, Roebuck and Co. ............... 363

The Empirical Limits of Response to Mail Surveys - HERSCHEL SHOSTECK, Herschel Shosteck Associates ............... 366

 

XII. RESPONSE ERRORS IN SURVEYS

The Effects of Interviewer Characteristics on Item Response - JOHN D. HUTCHESON, JR., JAMES E. PRATHER and ROB E. SNOW, Georgia State University ............... 372

Control of the Questionaire Component of Nonsampling Error in Surveys: A Case Study from the Health Interview Survey 1976-1977 Influenza Supplement - GAIL SCOTT POE and CLAUDIA SCALA MOY, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 378

The Accuracy of Self-Reported Arrest Data - JENNIFER SCHORE and REBECCA MAYNARD, Mathematica Policy Research; IRVING PILIAVIN, University of Wisconsin ............... 384

Measuring Quality of Personnel Data: The CPDF/OPF Accuracy Survey - JOYCE A. STEVENS, U.S. Office of Personnel Management ............... 388

Enumeration Characteristics Related to the Coverage of Infant Deaths in the Multipurpose Survey of Saudi Arabia - ALI RASHID, Central Department of Statistics, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and JOHN RUMFORD, U.S. Bureau of the Census/United States Saudi Arabian Joint Commission for Economic Cooperation ............... 392

 

XIII. SAMPLE DESIGN II - PLANNING AND SELECTING

The Cost of Sample Survey Designs - CHARLES P. HUMPHREYS, World Bank ............... 395

Sequential Sample Selection Methods - JAMES R. CHROMY, Research Triangle Institute ............... 401

Probability Quota Sampling of a Dichotomous Variable - MYRON J. KATZOFF, U.S. Census Bureau ............... 407

Sequential Sampling for Public Opinion Polls - P. KRISHNAN and H. BOROWSKI, The Univers;ty of Alberta ............... 411

A Variable Versus a Uniform Sampling Rate for Conducting the 1980 Census - PAUL S.T. LEE, University of Nebraska at Omaha ............... 416

 

GENERAL CONTRIBUTED PAPERS

Distributional Characteristics of a Merged Microdata File - KEVIN HOLLENBECK, Urban Systems Research & Engineering and PAT DOYLE, Mathematica Policy Research ............... 418

An Evaluation of Terminal Digit Social Security Number Sampling in the Veterans Administration Annual Patient Survey - WILLIAM F. PAGE and GLENDA E. WRIGHT, Veterans Administration ............... 421

Estimating Design Effect from a Correlogram - C.H. PROCTOR, North Carolina State University ............... 424

Does the Age of a Telephone Interviewer Affect Subject's Responses? - YONAH WILAMOWSKY, Long Island University; HERSHEY H. FRIEDMAN, Fordham University; RALPH DI PIETRO, Montclair State College and SHELDON EPSTEIN, Seton Hall University ............... 427

 

CONTRIBUTED PAPERS - POSTER SESSIONS

Sampling Unit Size Considerations in Large Area Crop Inventorying Using Satellite-Based Data - CHARLES PERRY and CECIL HALLUM, NASA Johnson Space Center ............... 430