I. DEVELOPMENT OF STANDARDS AND QUALITY PROCEDURES IN FEDERAL SURVEYS
Organizer: DAVID L. BAYLESS, Westat, Incorporated
Chair: J. MICHAEL BRICK, Westat, Incorporated
On the Path to Quality Improvement in Social
Measurement: Developing Indicators of Survey Errors and Survey Costs -
ROBERT M. GROVES, University of Michigan and U.S. Bureau of the Census ...............
1
Quality in Federal Surveys: Do Standards Really
Matter? - STANLEY R. FREEDMAN, Energy Information Administration ...............
11
Discussion - PAUL P. BEIMER, New Mexico
State University ............... 18
A Model for Simulating Interviewer Travel Costs
for Different Cluster Sizes - JULIA L. BIENIAS, ELIZABETH M. SWEET, CHARLES
H. ALEXANDER, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 20
A Systems Approach to Determining the Cost
and Comparing Alternative Survey/Census Designs - WILLIAM F. McCARTHY,
U.S. Department of Transportation ............... 28
Cost Functions for NHIS and Implications for
Survey Design - DAVID JUDKINS, JOSEPH WAKSBERG, Westat, Incorporated;
DORIS NORTHRUP, CODA ............... 34
Discussion - ROBERT M. GROVES, University
of Michigan and U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 44
A Review of Promotion and Outreach in the 1990
Census: Preliminary Results from the Vitt Media Research on PSA Airings, News
Coverage, and Awareness in Six Media Markets - THOMAS A. JONES, J. FREDERICK
SHENK, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 47
Improving Operational Quality and Productivity
for the 1990 Census - ROBERT T. SMITH, JR., JOHN LINEBARGER, GLENN WHITE,
JR., U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 56
Testing Alternative Questionnaires for the
Current Population Survey - KENNON R. COPELAND, IMS America; JENNIFER
M. ROTHGEB, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 63
Sample Expansion Plans for the Current Population
Survey - ALAN R. TUPEK U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; PRESTON J. WAITE,
LAWRENCE S. CAHOON, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 72
Discussion - JOSEPH WAKSBERG, Westat, Incorporated
............... 78
The Effect of Level of Participation in Proxy
Reporting - SEYMOUR SUDMAN, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign;
GEETA MENON, New York University; JOHNNY BLAIR, University of Maryland; BARBARA
BICKART, University of Florida ............... 81
Cognitive Psychological Approaches in the Evaluation
of Information Exchange Processes - MARIE VAN MELIS-WRIGHT, MARY BATCHER,
DEBORAH STONE, FRITZ SCHEUREN, Internal Revenue Service and U.S. Bureau of
the Census ............... 89
SPEER (Structured Program for Economic Editing
and Referrals) - BRIAN GREENBERG, THOMAS PETKUNAS, U.S. Bureau of the
Census............... 95
Applications of the Generalized Edit and Imputation
System at Statistics Canada - P. WHITRIDGE, J. KOVAR, Statistics Canada
............... 105
A Review of Three Editing and Imputation Systems
- MARK M. PIERZCHALA, National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) ...............
111
Weighting: Why, When, and How? - LESLIE
KISH, University of Michigan ............... 121
Sample Weights for Coverage: A Stochastic Interpretation
- CHARLES D. COWAN, Opinion Research Corporation; SUSAN AHMED, National Center
for Education Statistics ............... 131
Estimation Concerns for Family Level Analysis
in National Longitudinal Health Care Surveys - STEVEN B. COHEN, Agency
for Health Care Policy and Research ............... 141
Discussion - GRAHAM KALTON, University
of Michigan ............... 147
A Report of the Findings of the National Household
Seroprevalence Survey Feasibility Study - D.G. HORVITZ, M.F. WEEKS, W.
VISSCHER, R.E. FOLSOM, Research Triangle Institute; P.L. HURLEY, R.A. WRIGHT,
J.T. MASSEY, T.M. EZZATI, National Center for Health Statistics ...............
150
Statistical Issues in Measuring the Prevalence
of HIV Infection in a Household Survey - JAMES T. MASSEY, TRENA M. EZZATI,
National Center for Health Statistics; RALPH FOLSOM, Research Triangle Institute
............... 160
Discussion - CHARLES F. TURNER, National
Academy of Sciences ............... 170
Discussion - STEPHEN E. FIENBERG, Carnegie
Mellon University ............... 174
Effects of Procedural Differences in the Nationwide
Food Consumption Survey - PATRICIA M. GUENTHER, U.S. Department of Agriculture
............... 177
Timely Artifacts: A Review of Measurement Variation
in the 1972-1989 GSS - TOM W. SMITH, NORC, University of Chicago ...............
186
Discussion - RON FECSO, U.S. Department
of Agriculture ............... 196
I. ISSUES IN ESTIMATION
Chair: ROBERT E. FAY, III, U.S. Bureau of the Census
Parametric and Non-Parametric Predictive Mean
Regression Estimates Using Function of the Probability of Selection -
LOUIS RIZZO, University of Iowa ............... 197
Two-Stage Sampling from a Prediction Point
of View - JAN F. BJORNSTAD, The University of Tromso, Norway ...............
203
A Monte Carlo Comparison of Regression Estimators
in Stratified Random Sampling - CHIEN-PAI HAN, University of Texas at
Arlington ............... 209
An Empirical, General Population Assessment
of the Variance and Variance Estimators of the Horvitz- Thompson Estimator
Under Variable Probability Sampling - STEPHEN V. STEHMAN, SUNY, W. SCOTT
OVERTON, Oregon State University ............... 213
Estimating the Finite Population Mean Using
Empirical Bayes Methods - BALGOBIN NANDRAM, Worcester Polytechnic Institute;
J. SEDRANSK, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 219
A Study of Procedures to Identify and Trim
Extreme Sampling Weights - FRANK J. POTTER, Research Triangle Institute
............... 225
Equal Characteristic Clustering - PATRICK
J. CANTWELL, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 231
On the Measure of Homogeneity in Subclasses
- G. CICCHITELLI, G.E. MONTANARI, University of Perugia, Italy ...............
237
Superimposition of a Geographical Stratification
on a Complex Design - PAULA WEIR, Energy Information Administration; PEDRO
SAAVEDRA, Macro Systems Incorporated ............... 243
Assessing the Effects of Imputed Data on Selected
Results from the 1987 Economic Censuses - LEROY BAILEY, ANN JANSTO, CHARLENE
SMITH, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 249
Alternative Imputation Methods for Wage Data
- SANDRA A. WEST, SHAlL BUTANI, MICHAEL WITT, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
............... 254
Robustness of Multiple-Imputation Techniques
to Model Misspecification - LAURA C. LAZZERONI, NATHANIEL SCHENKER, JEREMY
M.G. TAYLOR, University of California, Los Angeles ............... 260
VPLX: Variance Estimates for Complex Samples
- ROBERT E. FAY, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 266
Generalized Standard Error Models for Proportions
in Complex Design Surveys - GAYLE S. BIELER, RICK L. WILLIAMS, Research
Triangle Institute ............... 272
Signal Extraction Excluding Certainty Cases
for Estimation of Monthly Retail Trade Time Series - JOHN R. GOLMANT,
WILLIAM R. BELL, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 278
An Application of Time Series Methods to Labor
Force Estimation Using CPS Data - RICHARD TILLER, U.S. Bureau of Labor
Statistics ............... 284
Estimating Variances for the U.S. Consumer
Price Index for 1978-1986 - SYLVIA G. LEAVER, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
............... 290
Multiplicity Sampling in an RDD Telephone Survey
- J. MICHAEL BRICK, Westat Incorporated ............... 296
Issues in Sampling Blacks and Hispanics in
School-Based Surveys - MICHAEL T. ERRECART, Macro Systems, Incorporated;
JOE FRED GONZALES, JR., National Center for Health Statistics; JOHN E. ANDERSON,
Centers for Disease Control ............... 302
Evaluation of the Classification Tree Methodology
Used for the Development of the 1987 Census of Agriculture Mail List -
RICHARD J. SCHMEHL, MAGDALENA RAMOS, U.S. Bureau of the Census ...............
308
Empirical Bayes Estimation for Quarterly Hog
Series - LYNN KUO, University of Connecticut; PAUL COOK, U.S. Department
of Agriculture ............... 314
Variance Estimation for Price Indexes From
a Two-Stage Sample With Rotating Panels - RICHARD VALLIANT, U.S. Bureau
of Labor Statistics ............... 320
Network Sampling as an Approach to Sampling
Pregnant Women - LINDA L. SANDERS, WILLIAM D. KALSBEEK, University of
North Carolina ............... 326
Sampling from a Fluid Population - BENJAMIN
F. KING, Florida Atlantic University ............... 332
What Does Performing a Linear Regression on
Survey Data Mean? - PHILLIP S. KOTT, U.S. Department of Agriculture ...............
337
Fitting Cox's Proportional Hazards Models from
Survey Data - DAVID A. BINDER, Statistics Canada ............... 342
Making Tables Additive in Three Dimensions
Under X-Measures - JAMES T. FAGAN, BRIAN V. GREENBERG, U.S. Bureau of
the Census ............... 348
String Comparator Metrics and Enhanced Decision
Rules in the Fellegi-Sunter Model of Record Linkage - WILLIAM E. WINKLER,
U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 354
The Longitudinal Study of Aging Medicare Record
Match - MICHELE M. CHYBA, National Center for Health Statistics. ...............
360
Matching Household and Medical Provider Data
in the National Medical Expenditure Survey - AYAH E. JOHNSON, BARBARA
LEPIDUS CARLSON, Agency for Health Care Policy and Research. ...............
366
Employer Reporting Unit Match Study (ERUMS)
A Final Report! - WARREN L. BUCKLER, Social Security Administration;
THOMAS B. JABINE, Committee on National Statistics ............... 372
Computer Assisted Personal Interviewing: Lessons
from Experience - MARY GRACE KOVAR, National Center for Health Statistics
............... 378
Comparison of In-Person and Telephone Responses
in a Survey of the Last Days of Life - DANIEL J. FOLEY, DWIGHT B. BROCK,
National Institute on Aging ............... 382
Speech Data Entry: Results of the First Test
of Voice Recognition for Data Collection - DEBBIE L.S. WINTER, RICHARD
L. CLAYTON, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 387
Household Telephone Surveys in Hong Kong
- J. BACON-SHONE, W.K. FUNG, Y.C. KUK, K. LAM, W.K. LI, K.W. NG, S.M. SHEN,
University of Hong Kong ............... 393
Some Effects of Undercoverage in a Telephone
Survey of Teenagers - STEVEN L. BOTMAN, KAREN ALLEN, National Center for
Health Statistics ............... 396
Analysis of Survey Data on Drug Experience
by Mode of Data Collection - ARTHUR L. HUGHES, JOSEPH C. GFROERER, National
Institute on Drug Abuse ............... 401
Intertemporal Stability in Total Income and
Overlap in Annual Samples of Tax Returns - ALLEN L. SCHIRM, JOHN L. CZAJKA,
Mathematica Policy Research, Incorporated ............... 407
Overlapping Membership in Annual Samples of
Individual Tax Returns - JOHN L. CZAJKA, ALLEN L. SCHIRM, Mathematica
Policy Research, Incorporated ............... 413
Choosing the Appropriate Income Classifier
for Economic Tax Modeling - SUSAN HOSTETTER, Internal Revenue Service;
JOHN L. CZAJKA, ALLEN L. SCHIRM, Mathematica Policy Research, Incorporated;
KAREN V. O'CONOR, Internal Revenue Service ............... 419
Model Based Estimation of Covariance Matrices
With Applications to the EMAlgorithm - STEPHEN M. WOODRUFF, U.S.
Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 425
An Application of Regression Superpopulation
Models in the Current Employment Statistics Survey - CHRISTOPHER H. JOHNSON,
STEPHEN M. WOODRUFF, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 429
Construction of Masking Error for Categorical
Variables - GARY SULLIVAN, Lilly Research Laboratories; WAYNE A. FULLER,
Iowa State University ............... 435
Inferential Disclosure-Limited Microdata Dissemination
- GEORGE T. DUNCAN, Carnegie Mellon University ............... 440
Implementing NCES' New Confidentiality Protections
- DOUGLAS WRIGHT, SUSAN AHMED, National Center for Education Statistics ...............
446
Relating Risk of Disclosure for Microdata and
Geographic Area Size - BRIAN GREENBERG, LAURA VOSHELL, U.S. Bureau of
the Census ............... 450
Subpopulation Estimation for the Masked Data
- JAY KIM, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 456
Characteristics of Second Wave Nonrespondents
in a Panel Survey - GRAHAM KALTON, JAMES LEPKOWSKI, University of Michigan;
G.E. MONTANARI, University of Perugia; DALISAY MALIGALIG, University of Michigan
............... 462
Longitudinal Weighting and Analysis Issues
for Nationally Representative Data Sets - LARRY S. CORDER, LISA LAVANGE,
MAX A. WOODBURY, KENNETH G. MANTON, Duke University ............... 468
Improving the Comprehension of Reference Periods
- MICHAEL L. HUBBARD, JUDITH T. LESSLER, KENNETH A. GRAETZ, BARBARA H. FORSYTH,
Research Triangle Institute ............... 474
On Providing Population Data to Improve Respondents'
Estimates of Autobiographical Frequencies - EDWARD BLAIR, KATHLEEN WILLIAMSON,
University of Houston ............... 480
Noncontacts: Effect on Survey Estimates
- SARA L. THRAN, RICHARD J. WILLKE, American Medical Association ...............
484
Nonresponse Bias in Data Reported by Nursing
Home Resident's Next of Kin - ESTHER HING, MARY ANN BUSH, National Center
for Health Statistics ............... 492
Discussion - SEYMOUR SUDMAN, University
of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign ............... 498
Identifying Geographic Location from Respondent
Interviews Using RDD Surveys - DAVID A. MARKER, JOSEPH WAKSBERG, LESLIE
ATHEY, Westat, Incorporated ............... 500
Problems of Screening for Poverty Status
- JOHN F. MOELLER, AHCPR; NANCY MATHIOWETZ, U.S. Bureau of the Census ...............
505
Error Analysis of Estimates for Less-Than-Two-Year
Postsecondary Education Institutions - MICHAEL P. COHEN, National Center
for Education Statistics ............... 511
Discussion - DANIEL KASPRZYK, U.S. Bureau
of the Census ............... 515
The 1990 Post-Enumeration Survey: An Overview
- HOWARD HOGAN, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 518
Coverage Measurement's Impact on the Census
- GLENN WOLFGANG, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 524
Results of Ethnographic Studies of 1988 Dress
Rehearsal Census Coverage - ELIZABETH MARTIN, LESLIE A. BROWNRIGG, ROBERT
E. FAY, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 530
Matching Movers in a Post-Enumeration Survey:
Results from 1988 and Plans for 1990 - IRWIN ANOLIK, U.S. Bureau of the
Census ............... 536
Improving the Coverage of Addresses in the
1990 CensusPreliminary Results - DEBORAH H. GRIFFIN, JOAN M. PAUSCHE,
EMILDA B. RIVERS, AMY L. TILLMAN, JAMES B. TREAT, U.S. Bureau of the Census
............... 541
Results of the 1988 Dress Rehearsal Post Enumeration
Survey - DANNY R. CHILDERS, HOWARD HOGAN, U.S. Bureau of the Census ...............
547
The SIPP Event History Calendar: Aiding Respondents
in the Dating of Longitudinal Events - ROBERT KOMINSKI, U.S. Bureau of
the Census ............... 553
How Does Smoothing Estimated Monthly Control
Totals Affect SIPP Estimates? - LYNN WEIDMAN, LARRY BOBBITT, U.S. Bureau
of the Census ............... 559
Implications of SIPP Record Check Results for
Measurement Principles and Practice - KENT H. MARQUIS, JEFFREY C. MOORE,
VICKI J. HUGGINS, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 564
Effect of Telephone Interviewing on SIPP Topical
Module and Longitudinal Estimates - PHILIP M. GBUR, PATRICK J. CANTWELL,
RITA J. PETRONI, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 570
Investigations of the SIPP's Cross-Sectional
Noninterview Adjustment Method and Variables - K. KING, S. CHOU, M. McCORMICK,
R. PETRONI, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 576
Discussion - J. MICHAEL BRICK, Westat,
Incorporated ............... 582
Who Fills out the Census Form? - THERESA
J. DeMAIO, NANCY A. BATES, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 584
The Alternative Minimum Tax: An Analysis of
its Effect on Corporations in 1987 - PATRICE TREUBERT, AMY PAVELKO, Internal
Revenue Service ............... 590
Partnerships and Tax Shelters: An Analysis
of the Impact of the 1986 Tax Reform - TOM PETSKA, SUSAN NELSON, U.S.
Department of the Treasury ............... 596
Private Foundations as Investors and Distributors
of Tax-Exempt Charitable Dollars, 1974-87 - ALICIA MECKSTROTH, Internal
Revenue Service ............... 602
Applying Cognitive Theory to an Establishment
Mail Survey - POLLY A. PHIPPS, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ...............
608
Persuasive Communications Strategies in a Survey
of Business Establishments - RUTH B. McKAY, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
............... 613
Obtaining Hospital Participation in an Ongoing
National Survey - MARY MOIEN, National Center for Health Statistics ...............
619
Making Difficult Model Comparisons Graphically
- DAVID F. FINDLEY, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 622
Calculation of Prediction Intervals for Seasonally
Adjusted Labour Force Series - ESTELA BEE DAGUM, BENOIT QUENNEVILLE, Statistics
Canada ............... 628
A General Method for Estimating the Variances
of X-11 Estimators - D. PFEFFERMANN, Hebrew University of Jerusalem ...............
634
Seasonal Adjustment of Preliminary Data -
JERRY A. HAUSMAN, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; MARK W. WATSON, Northwestern
University ............... 640
Discussion - STUART SCOTT, U.S. Bureau
of Labor Statistics ............... 649
Evaluation Follow-up for the 1988 Post-Enumeration
Survey - MARY H. MULRY, KIRSTEN K. WEST, U.S. Bureau of the Census ...............
652
Planning for the Evaluation of Census Coverage
Estimates for the 1990 Census - MARY H. MULRY, DAVID BATEMAN, U.S. Bureau
of the Census ............... 658
Missing Data in the 1988 Dress Rehearsal Post-Enumeration
Survey - GREGG J. DIFFENDAL, U.S. Bureau of the Census ...............
663
Triple System Modeling of Census, Post-Enumeration
Survey, and Administrative List Data - ALAN M. ZASLAVSKY, Harvard University;
GLENN S. WOLFGANG, U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 668
Sample Inferences on the Quality of a Large
Batch of Radioactive Training Capsules - DAVID W. CHAPMAN, U.S. Bureau
of the Census ............... 674
The Golden Numerical Comparative Scale: Economies
With Preservation of Data Quality - LINDA L. GOLDEN, University of Texas
at Austin ............... 677
Controlled Sampling for Comparing Two PopulationsAn
Example - KAROL P. KROTKI, LORRAINE PORCELLINI, I.S.R. Temple University
............... 683
Simultaneous Selection of Primary Sampling
Units for Two Designs - LAWRENCE R. ERNST, U.S. Bureau of the Census ...............
688
Fuzzy-Set Sampling Under Semi-Definite Chaos
- JIMMY THOMAS EFIRD, Applied Statistics Corporation ............... 694
Augmenting a Sample to Satisfy Subpopulation
Reliability Requirements - PROMOD CHANDHOK, RACHEL WEINSTEIN, CAROL GUNLICKS,
U.S. Bureau of the Census ............... 696
The New Statistical Design of the National
Hospital Discharge Survey - IRIS M. SHIMIZU, National Center for Health
Statistics ............... 702
Sample Design for the 1988 National Maternal
and Infant Health Survey - JOE FRED GONZALES, JR., KENNETH G. KEPPEL,
STEVEN L. BOTMAN, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 708
Revising the Statistics of Income Partnership
Sampling Plan - PAUL McMAHON, KAREN O'CONOR, RICHARD COLLINS, Internal
Revenue Service ............... 713
The IRS Test Call Program: Design and Estimation
Issues - MARY BATCHER, FRITZ SCHEUREN, Internal Revenue Service ...............
719
An Evaluation of the Use of Personal
Computers for Variance Estimation With Complex Survey Data - BARBARA LEPIDUS
CARLSON, AYAH E. JOHNSON, STEVEN B. COHEN, Agency for Health Care Policy and
Research ............... 724
Constructing Year-Long Profiles
of Residence Histories for a National Sample of Nursing Home Users - D.E.B.
POTTER, PETER J. CUNNTNGHAM, Agency for Health Care Policy and Research ...............
730
Analytic Limitations to Current
National Health Surveys - VAN L. PARSONS, JESSICA CHAN, LESTER R. CURTIN,
National Center for Health Statistics ............... 736
A Priority System to Improve Callback
Success in Telephone Surveys - S. LYNNE STOKES, BETSY S. GREENBERG, The
University of Texas at Austin ............... 742
Some Theoretical and Applied Investigations
of Model and Unequal Probability Sampling for Electric Power Generation and
Cost - JAMES R. KNAUB, JR., U.S. Department of Energy ...............
748
An Investigation of Stratification
Errors - JERI MULROW, LOUISE WOODBURN, Internal Revenue Service ...............
754
Design and Use of an Imbedded
Panel in the SOI Corporate Sample - SUSAN HINKINS, JERI MULROW, RICHARD
COLLINS, Internal Revenue Service ............... 760
The Use of a Prepaid Incentive
to Convert Nonresponders on a Survey of Physicians - MARC L. BERK, Project
HOPE; W. SHERMAN EDWARDS, NANCY GAY, Westat, Incorporated ...............
766