I. PANEL DISCUSSION: ETHICAL ISSUES IN ACCESS TO AND LINKAGE OF PUBLICALLY
COLLECTED DATA
Organizer: WENDY ALVEY, Internal Revenue Service
Chair: MARGARET E. MARTIN, National Academy of Sciences
Panelists - THOMAS B. JABINE,National
Academy of Sciences ............... 1
Panelists - JOSEPH L. GASTWIRTH, George
Washington University ............... 6
Panelists - EVA E. JACOBS, Bureau of Labor
Statistics ............... 14
Panelists - WILLIAM P. BUTZ, GERALD W. GATES,
Bureau of the Census ............... 16
Panelists - ROBERT W. PEARSON, Social Science
Research Council and Columbia University ............... 19
Logistic Regression with Survey
Data - ALASTAIR J. SCOTT, University of Auckland and University of Wisconsin
............... 25
Generalized Response Models for
Survey Data - GEORGIA ROBERTS, Statistics Canada ............... 31
Estimation of the Distribution
Function with a Complex Survey - CAROL A. FRANCISCO, WAYNE A. FULLER,
Iowa State University ............... 37
Discussion - J.N.K. RAO,
Carleton University ............... 46
Comparative Study of Weighting
Methods for Family Data - GEORGES LEMAITRE, J. DUFOUR, Statistics Canada
............... 48
Comparison of Alternative Methods
for Household Estimation - CHARLES H. ALEXANDER, JR., MICHAEL J. ROEBUCK,
Bureau of the Census ............... 54
A Generalized Least Squares Weighting
System for the Consumer Expenditure Survey - KIMBERLY D. ZIESCHANG, Bureau
of Labor Statistics ............... 64
Discussion - BRENDA G. COX,
Research Triangle Institute ............... 72
Probability Sample U-Statistics:
Theory and Applications for Complex Sample Designs - RALPH E. FOLSOM,
JR., Research Triangle Institute ............... 75
Efficient Replicated Variance
Estimation - KEITH F. RUST, University of Michigan and Australian Bureau
of Statistics ............... 81
Some Prediction Properties of
Balanced Half-Sample Variance Estimators in Single-Stage Sampling - RICHARD
VALLIANT, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 88
Discussion - CHIEN FU JEFF
WU, University of Wisconsin-Madison ............... 97
Multivariate Components of Variance
Models as Empirical Bayes Procedures for Small Domain Estimation - ROBERT
E. FAY, III, Bureau of the Census ............... 99
On the Estimation of Mean Square
Error of Small Area Predictors - N.G.N. PRASAD, University of Alberta;
J.N.K. RAO, Carleton University ............... 108
Discussion - WESLEY L. SCHAIBLE,
Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 117
Design of the Somal I Post Enumeration
Survey (1986-87) - CHARLES D. COWAN, ANTHONY G. TURNER, KAREN STANECKI,
Bureau of the Census ............... 120
Population Census Evaluation
in the 1980 Round: National Practices and Issues - K.S. GNANASEKARAN,
ALICE CLAGUE, United Nations ............... 128
Evaluation of Population and
Agriculture Censuses in Bangladesh - DONALD G. LARSON, Bureau of the Census
............... 138
Discussion - GRAHAM KALTON,
University of Michigan ............... 145
Conditional Inference for Small
Area Estimation - MICHAEL A. HIDIROGLOU, Statistics Canada; CARL E. SARNDAL,
University of Montreal ............... 147
Discussion - DANNY PFEFFERMANN,
Hebrew University-Jerusalem ............... 157
I. ESTIMATING THE SIZE OF ELUSIVE POPULATIONS
Organizer/Chair: MONROE G. SIRKEN, National Center for Health Statistics
The Use of Network Samples in
Estimating Incidence of Missing Children - SEYMOUR SUDMAN, University
of Illinois at Urbana ............... 159
Nomad Sampling: An Analytic Study
of Alternative Design Strategies - WILLIAM D. KALSBEEK, University of
North Carolina ............... 164
The Methodology of Counting the
Homeless - CHARLES D. COWAN, Center for Education Statistics; WILLIAM
R. BREAKEY, PAMELA J. FISCHER, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions ...............
170
A Probability Sample of the Homeless
Population of Chicago - MARTIN R. FRANKEL, Baruch College-City University
of New York ............... 176
A Survey of the Employers of
Illegal Aliens: Analysis of the Survey Methodology - BARRY R. CHISWICK,
University of Illinois-Chicago ............... 178
Discussion - NORMAN M. BRADBURN,
University of Chicago ............... 184
A Review of the Research and
Design Issues in the Survey of Income and Program Participation - DANIEL
KASPRZYK, Bureau of the Census ............... 187
Discussion - ROBERT T. MICHAEL,
National Opinion Research Center and University of Chicago ...............
193
Effects of Adjustments for Wave
Nonresponse on Panel Survey Estimates - GRAHAM KALTON, MICHAEL E. MILLER,
University of Michigan ............... 194
Life Events and Sample Attrition
in the Survey of Income and Program Participation - KATHLEEN S. SHORT,
EDITH K. McARTHUR, Bureau of the Census ............... 200
Longitudinal Imputation for
the SIPP - STEVEN G. HEERINGA, JAMES M. LEPKOWSKI, University of Michigan
............... 206
Discussion - JOHN L. CZAJKA, Mathematica
Policy Research, Incorporated ............... 211
SIPP: Longitudinal Estimation
for Persons' Characteristics - EDWARD L. KOBILARCIK, RAJENDRA P. SINGH,
Bureau of the Census ............... 214
Labor Force Transitions: A Comparison
of Unemployment Estiiuates From Two Longitudinal Surveys - MARTHA S. HILL,
DANIEL H. HILL, University of Michigan ............... 220
An Additive Model of Recall
Error: Analysis of SIPP Data - DANIEL H. HILL, University of Michigan
............... 226
Investigation of Gross Changes
in Income Recipiency from the Survey of Income and Program Participation
- LYNN WEIDMAN, Bureau of the Census ............... 231
Measuring the Bias in Gross
Flows in the Presence of Auto-Correlated Response Errors - DAVID L. HUBBLE,
DAVID R. JUDKINS, Bureau of the Census ............... 237
Discussion - MARTIN H. DAVID,
University of Wisconsin-Madison ............... 243
A Simulated Comparison of Chi-Squared
Tests for Comparing Vectors of Proportions for Several Cluster Samples
- JEFFREY R. WILSON, Arizona State University ............... 246
Categorical Data Analysis for
Complex Surveys - AVINASH C. SINGH, Memorial University of Newfoundland;
SATINDAR KUMAR, Statistics Canada ............... 252
Estimation and Analysis of Survey
Data Using SAS Procedures WESVAR, NASSREG, and NASSLOG - LEYLA MOHADJER,
DAVID MORGANSTEIN, ADAM CHU, MIKE RHOADS, Westat, Incorporated ...............
258
The Analysis of Survey Data Using
Stochastic Regression Coefficients with Application to NHANES Data - DANNY
PFEFFERMANN, Hebrew University; LISA M. LaVANGE, Research Triangle Institute
............... 264
An Application of Logistic Regression
Methods to Survey Data: Predicting High Cost Users of Medical Care - LISA
M. LaVANGE, VINCENT G. IANNACCHIONE, STEVEN A. GARFINKEL, Research Triangle
Institute ............... 270
Discussion - ROBERT E. FAY,
III, Bureau of the Census ............... 276
Estimating Interviewer Variance
for Dichotomous Items Using a Latent Variable Model - S. LYNNE STOKES,
University of Texas at Austin ............... 278
Using a Most Knowledgeable Respondent
Rule in a Household Telephone Survey - LINDA TOMPKINS, JAMES T. MASSEY,
National Center for Health Statistics ............... 281
Mode of Initial Contact for
Personal Interviews: Findings From Two Experiments - NANCY A. MATHIOWETZ,
E. PAT WARD, Westat, Incorporated; ANDREW A. WHITE, National Center for Health
Statistics; DORIS NORTHRUP, Westat, Incorporated ............... 287
Evaluating Census Data Quality
Using Intensive Reinterviews: A Comparison of U.S. Census Methods and Rasch
Methods - ROBERT A. JOHNSON, HENRY F. WOLTMAN, Bureau of the Census ...............
293
Interviewer Characteristics
and Nonresponse - FLOYD J. FOWLER, JR., THOMAS W. MANGIONE, University
of Massachusetts ............... 299
Imputation of Selected Items
in Corporate Tax Data: Improving Upon the Earlier Hot Deck - JOHN L. CZAJKA,
Mathematica Policy Research, Incorporated ............... 304
Comparison of the Different Imputation
Procedures in the Monthly Retail Survey - ELIZABETH T. HUANG, Bureau of
the Census ............... 310
Weighting VS Imputation: A Simulation
Study - SYLVIE MICHAUD, Statistics Canada ............... 316
Some Effects of Statistical Synthetic
Estimation on Census Undercount of Small Areas - LINDA K. SCHULTZ, ELIZABETH
T. HUANG, GREGG J. DIFFENDAL, CARY T. ISAKI, Bureau of the Census ...............
321
Nonresponse and Noncoverage Analysis
in the Southwest Component of the Hispanic Health and Nutrition Examination
Survey - JOE FRED GONZALEZ, JR., MARILYN M. McMILLEN, National Center
for Health Statistics ............... 326
An Alternative Method of Controlling
Current Population Survey Estimates to Population Counts - KENNON R. COPELAND,
FLORA KWOK PEITZMEIER, C. EASLEY HOY, Bureau of Labor Statistics ...............
332
Discussion - WILLIAM E. WINKLER,
Energy Information Administration ............... 338
An Experimental Implementation
of a Dual Frame Telephone Sample Design - ROBERT M. GROVES, JAMES M. LEPKOWSKI,
University of Michigan ............... 340
Telephone Survey Development
on the Canadian Labour Force Survey - J. DOUGLAS DREW, RICHARD G. JAWORSKI,
Statistics Canada ............... 346
Some Results of an Experiment
with Telephone Sampling for the U.S. National Crime Survey - CHARLES H.
ALEXANDER, JR., JANICE SEBOLD, PAMELA PFAFF, Bureau of the Census ...............
351
A Two Phase Probability Proportional
to Size Design for Telephone Sampling - JAMES M. LEPKOWSKI, ROBERT M.
GROVES, University of Michigan ............... 357
Some Alternatives for the Treatment
of First Phase Telephone Numbers in a Waksberg-Mitofsky RDD Sample - CHARLES
D. PALIT, University of Wisconsin-Madison; JOHNNY BLAIR, University of Illinois-Urbana
............... 363
Discussion - JOSEPH WAKSBERG,
Westat, Incorporated ............... 367
A Method for Limiting Disclosure
in Microdata Based on Random Noise and Transformation - JAY KIM, Bureau
of the Census ............... 370
Protection of Taxpayer Confidentiality
with Respect to the Tax Model - MICHAEL STRUDLER, H. LOCK OH, FRITZ SCHEUREN,
Internal Revenue Service ............... 375
Regression Methodology Based
Disclosure of a Statistical Database - MICHAEL A. PALLEY, Baruch College-City
University of New York; JEFFREY S. SIMONOFF, New York University ...............
382
Research at the Census Bureau
into Disclosure Avoidance Techniques for Tabular Data - LARRY COX, JIM
FAGAN, BRIAN GREENBERG, ROBERT HEMMIG, Bureau of the Census ...............
388
Discussion - DIANE M. LAMBERT,
Carnegie-Mellon University ............... 394
Design Effects from the Mexican
American Portion of the Hispanic Health and Nutrition Examination Survey:
A Strategy for Analysts - MARY GRACE KOVAR, CLIFFORD JOHNSON, National
Center for Health Statistics ............... 396
Two New Variance Estimation Techniques
- LAWRENCE R. ERNST, VICKI J. HUGGINS, DIANE E. GRILL, Bureau of the Census
............... 400
Variance Estimation and the Redesigned
National Health Interview Survey - VAN L. PARSONS, National Center for
Health Statistics; ROBERT J. CASADY, Bureau of Labor Statistics ...............
406
Simplified Variance Estimation
for the National Health Interview Survey - ROBERT J. CASADY, Bureau of
Labor Statistics; VAN L. PARSONS, CECELIA B. SNOWDEN, National Center for
Health Statistics ............... 412
Generalized Variance Functions
for a Complex Sample Survey - EUGENE G. JOHNSON, BENJAMIN F. KING, JR.,
Educational Testing Service ............... 418
Some Markov-Chain Models for
Nonresponse in Categorical Data from Panel Surveys - ELIZABETH A. STASNY,
Ohio State University ............... 424
Identification of Nonrandom Item
Response in an Epidemiologic Survey of the Elderly - DWIGHT B. BROCK,
National Institute on Aging; JON H. LEMKE, ROBERT F. WOOLSON, University of
Iowa ............... 430
Probability of Response: A Multivariate
Probit Analysis - SARA L. THRAN, WILLIAM D. MARDER, RICHARD J. WILLKE,
American Medical Association ............... 435
The Omitted Digit Randomized
Response Model for Telephone Applications - STANLEY L. WARNER, York University
............... 441
An Alternative EM Formulation
for Randomized Response Data - PATRICK D. BOURKE, MICHAEL A. MORAN, University
College of Cork, Ireland ............... 444
Composite Estimation in the International
Price Program - LOUIS P. RIZZO, Bureau of Labor Statistics ...............
448
A Prediction Theoretic View of
Composite Estimation - STEPHEN M. WOODRUFF, Bureau of Labor Statistics
............... 454
Combining Preliminary Estimators
of Totals for Livestock Surveys by Convex Programming - LYNN KUO, University
of Connecticut ............... 460
Variance Estimation for Seasonally
Adjusted Survey Data - JOHN B. ARMSTRONG, GERALD B. GRAY, Statistics Canada
............... 466
Three Survey Field Tests Linked
to the National Health Interview Survey - E. PATRICK WARD, Westat, Incorporated;
ANDREW A. WHITE, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 472
Cognitive Laboratory Studies
of the 1986 Supplement to the National Health Interview Survey Final Results
- JUDITH T. LESSLER, Research Triangle Institute; ROGER E. TOURANGEAU, National
Opinion Research Center; WILLIAM SALTER, Bolt, Beranek and Newman, Incorporated
............... 478
Processes Used in the Formulation
of Behavioral Frequency Reports in Surveys - EDWARD BLAIR, University
of Houston; SCOT BURTON, Louisiana State University ............... 481
Selecting the Number of Response
Categories for a Likert-Type Scale - NICHOLAS J. BIRKETT, McMaster University
............... 488
Response Error Effects of Survey
Questionnaire Design - GAD NATHAN, Hebrew University; MONROE G. SIRKEN,
National Center for Health Statistics ............... 493
Determining an Optimal Item-Outlet
Sample Design for the 1987 U.S. Consumer Price Index Revision - SYLVIA
G. LEAVER, WILLIAM L. WEBER, MICHAEL P. COHEN, KENNETH P. ARCHER, Bureau of
Labor Statistics ............... 499
Measuring Employment of New Businesses
in the Current Employment Statistics Survey - THOMAS J. GRZESIAK, ALAN
R. TUPEK, Bureau of Labor Statistics ............... 505
Coverage Study for Housing Starts
in Nonpermit Areas - JACK PULLEN, Bureau of the Census ...............
511
The 1985 National Nursing Home
Survey Design - IRIS M. SHIMIZU, National Center for Health Statistics
............... 516
Evolution of the Personal Income
Tax Sample of the Quebec Ministry of Revenue - CLAUDE BOIVIN, ROBERT PARE,
Quebec Ministry of Revenue ............... 521
Dispersion in the Indebtedness
of Large Nonfinancial Corporations: An Inter-Industry Analysis of Financial
Leverage - MAX JOHNS, Internal Revenue Service ............... 527
Estimation of the Proportion
of an Area Occupied by an Animal Species - PAUL H. GEISSLER, MARK R. FULLER,
Patuxent Wildlife Research Center ............... 533
Counting Coupons - CHARLES
H. PROCTOR, North Carolina State University ............... 539
Estimating from a Facility Survey
the Annual Number of Individuals Who Were Admitted to and Discharged from
a Nursing Home - STEVEN L. BOTMAN, National Center for Health Statistics
............... 542
Quality of Proxy vs. Self-Reports:
Evidence from a Health Survey with Repeated Measures - RICHARD E. MILLER,
Wisconsin Division of Health; MICHAEL P. MASSAGLI, Pennsylvania State University;
BRIAN R. CLARRIDGE, Wisconsin Division of Health ............... 546
Use of Administrative Records
in Evaluating Data Quality - JANET A. TIPPETT, Bureau of the Census ...............
552
Quality Assurance of the Consumer
Price Index Housing Survey - CAROL LYNN KOSARY, WILLIAM D. McCARTHY, JOHN
PAUL SOMMERS, JAMES M. BRANSCOME, Bureau of Labor Statistics ...............
556
A Continuous Sampling Plan for
Monitoring Survey Form Quality - PAUL J. NOVOTNY, Bureau of Labor Statistics
............... 562
Research Plan on Census Adjustment
Standards - MARY MULRY-LIGGAN, HOWARD HOGAN, Bureau of the Census ...............
566
Discussion - GARY M. SHAPIRO,
Bureau of the Census ............... 571
Studies of Response Errors in
NASS Surveys: The Effect of Using Previous Survey Data - BRADLEY V. PAFFORD,
U.S. Department of Agriculture ............... 574
An Investigation of Nonsampling
Errors in U.S. Department of Agriculture Surveys - WILLIAM D. WARDE, Oklahoma
State University ............... 580
Sample Survey Quality: Issues
and Examples from an Agricultural Survey - RON FECSO, U.S. Department
of Agriculture ............... 586
Deviating from the Optional Allocation
to Reduce Burden on Large-Sized Units - DAVID M. DILLARD, BARRY L. FORD,
U.S. Department of Agriculture ............... 592
Crop Acreage Estimation Using
Satellite Data as Auxiliary Information: Multivariate Case - JAMES J.
McKEON, RAJ S. CHHIKARA, University of Houston-Clear Lake ...............
597
Some Mathematical and Statistical
Aspects of the Transformed Taxpayer Identification Number: A Sample Selection
Tool Used at Internal Revenue Service - JAMES M. HARTE, Internal Revenue
Service ............... 603
New Algorithms for Multidimensional
Sample Allocation - SHULAMITH T. GROSS, MARTIN R. FRANKEL, Baruch College-City
University of New York ............... 609
Multi-Purpose Survey Sampling
- WILLIAM E. WINKLER, Energy Information Administration ............... 614
Robustness of the Census Bureau's
Record Linkage System - R. PATRICK KELLEY, Bureau of the Census ...............
620
On the Sample Size Determination
for Multiple Variable Sample Surveys - DHIRENDRA N. GHOSH, Science Applications
International Corporation ............... 625
A Regression Model for the Data
from Two Stage Cluster Samples - JAI WON CHOI, National Center for Health
Statistics ............... 626
A Simulation Study of Computerized
Adaptive Testing with a Misspecified Measurement Model - GEORGE ENGELHARD,
JR., Emory University ............... 631
How to Tell the Truth with Statistics-A
Sample Survey Example - JOHN L. STEDL, Chicago State University ...............
637
A CATI Feasibility Study for
a Monthly Establishment Survey - GEORGE S. WERKING, ALAN R. TUPEK, CHESTER
H. PONIKOWSKI, RICHARD J. ROSEN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ...............
639
Covariances of Errors in Survey
Responses - WILLARD L. RODGERS, A. REGULA HERZOG, University of Michigan
............... 645
Two-Stage Sampling Under Measurement
Error - PROMOD K. CHANDHOK, Ohio University ............... 650
Comparison of Hot-Deck Variations
in Inputing Missing Values - JAVAID KAISER, El Paso Community College
............... 653
Categorical Data Analysis for
Simple Random Samples - AVINASH C. SINGH, Memorial University of Newfoundland
............... 659
Estimation of the Mean from Censored
Income Data - SANDRA A. WEST, Bureau of Labor Statistics ...............
665
Random Moment Sampling to Estimate
Allocation of Work Effort - RICHARD BOLSTEIN, George Mason University
............... 671
The Weighted Median Test for
Finite Population Samples - RICK L. WILLIAMS, REBECCA L. PERRITT, Research
Triangle Institute ............... 676
An Evaluation of Available Statistical
Software for the Analysis of Complex Survey Data - STEVEN B. COHEN, JUDY
A. XANTHOPOULOS, National Center for Health Services Research; GRETCHEN K.
JONES, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 679
The National Health Interview
Survey as a Source of Data on American Indians and Alaska Natives - THOMAS
F. DRURY, PATRICIA A. KNAPP, DAWN M. RUBIN, National Center for Health Statistics
............... 685
Analyses of Nonresponse to the
Medical Provider Visit Items of the National Medical Care Expenditure Survey
- DAVID J. FITCH, VICKI L. BURT, National Center for Health Services Research
............... 691
Analysis of Cross-Classified
Scenarios for Categorical Choices of Actions - ELIANA HEISER, SUZANNE
LANDIS, GARY G. KOCH, University of North Carolina ............... 697
Questionnaire Design Research
Laboratory - PATRICIA N. ROYSTON, DEBORAH H. BERCINI, MONROE G. SIRKEN,
DAVID MINGAY, National Center for Health Statistics ............... 703